Hello, friends!
There's an interesting thing about weather reports. For some reason, reading weather reports make me forget everything I know about statistics, which is a little sad, seeing as how I spent much of my college career being a stastics minor.
Stastics and probability are pretty simple. From a percentages standpoint, if something is under 50%, then it is not likely to happen. If it is over 50%, chances are it is going to happen. This means, in theory, if there is a 30% chance of rain, 7 of 10 times the weather conditions will NOT lead to rain.
But that's not how my brain works. If it's a 30% chance of rain, I am seriously planning on driving instead of biking. If it's 40%, I'm pretty sure that I'll be driving. 50% and it's a practically a guarantee.
What is it about weather reports? All my learning goes out the window when I look out the window and see clouds.
New resolution: I'm biking unless there is legit chance (+50%) of rain. Let's do this! =0).
Stats:
Places Traveled: Just back and forth from Campus with a stop at Plasma
Distances Traveled: 4.0 miles ($.43)
Meters: 2 hours downtown ($1.20) + 5 hours on campus ($5)
Total: $6.63
Grand Total: $178.95
Left to Save: $395.68
Happy Biking!
~Adam
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